Analysing the Effects of Inflation, Interest Rate and Exchange Rate on Nigerian Economy
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v5i1.7070Keywords:
Economic Growth, Exchange Rate, Inflation Rate, Interest Rate, NigeriaAbstract
his study analysed the effects of inflation, interest rate and exchange rate on economic growth in Nigeria. The study employed Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method for regression analysis to determine the fixed and random effects of independent variables on dependent variable using annual time series data from 1990 – 2023. The results revealed that economic growth was negatively and significantly affected by inflation rate and negatively and insignificantly affected by interest rate while it was negatively and significantly affected by exchange rate. Based on the findings, the study therefore, recommends that monetary authorities in Nigeria should control inflation to stabilize prices, reduce bank rate to lower cost of borrowing and manage foreign exchange to stabilize local currency.
Downloads
References
Adaramola, A. O., & Dada, O. (2020). Impact of inflation on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 17(2), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.17(2).2020.01
Aderemi, T. A., Caleb, O. S., Alaka, A., & Efunbajo, S. (2020). Monetary policy and macroeconomic variable performances in Nigeria: Bounds test, ARDL and ECM approach. International Journal of Accounting Research, 5(1), 21–26. https://doi.org/10.12816/0057205
Adukpo, T. K., Bethel, J. O., & Prah, L. F. (2026). AI-enhanced inflation forecasting in emerging economies. American Journal of Applied Statistics and Economics, 5(1), 15–24. https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v5i1.6297
Ahamed, S. M., Faisal, A. H., & Abir, F. T. (2022). Effect of interest rates on economic growth in Bangladesh. Journal of Economics, 6(1), 36–44. https://doi.org/10.53819/81018102t5086
Amor, T. H., Nouira, R., Rault, C., & Sova, A. D. (2023). Real exchange rate misalignments and economic growth in Tunisia: New evidence from a threshold analysis of asymmetric adjustments. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 88, 215–227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2023.01.007
Anagaw, T. (2023). Review on the effect of inflation on economic growth in Ethiopia. American Journal of Applied Statistics and Economics, 2(1), 7–10.
Azam, M., & Khan, S. (2022). Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and economic growth: Further empirical evidence from the developed and developing world. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 27(4), 4224–4243. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2368
Danladi, B. (2022). The impact of inflation on economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Accounting and Finance Studies, 5(2), 81. https://doi.org/10.22158/ijafs.v5n2p81
Eniekezimene, F. A., Wodu, & Anda-Owei. (2024). Interrogating the asymmetric impact of exchange rate on agricultural output in Nigeria. American Journal of Applied Statistics and Economics, 3(1), 24–32. https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v2i1.2247
Evans, O. (2019). How much is too much? The threshold effects of interest rate on growth and investment in Nigeria. Journal of Management and Administration, 4(1), 69–98.
Hicks, J. R. (1937). Mr. Keynes and the “classics”: A suggested interpretation. Econometrica, 5(2), 147–159. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1907242
Idris, T. S., & Suleiman, S. (2019). Effect of inflation on economic growth in Nigeria: 1980–2017. Maiduguri Journal of Arts and Social Sciences, 18, 33–48.
Ismaila, O. B. (2018). Exchange rate uncertainty and foreign direct investment in Nigeria. Trade Policy Research and Training Programme, University of Ibadan.
Karahan, Ö. (2020). Influence of exchange rate on economic growth in the Turkish economy. Financial Assets and Investing, 11(1), 21–34. https://doi.org/10.5817/FAI2020-1-2
Keynes, J. M. (1936). The general theory of employment, interest and money. Harcourt Brace Jovanovich.
Matarr, N., & Momodou, B. (2021). The effects of interest rate on economic growth: Further insights from the Gambia. Journal of Economics and International Finance, 13(2), 100–105. https://doi.org/10.5897/JEIF2021.1127
Mbuyi, K. A., Kato-Kale, C., Ntumba, C. M., & Mpebale, E. I. (2022). Exchange rate volatility and economic growth in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Modern Economy, 13(5), 729–746. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2022.135039
Mgbomene, C., & Igben, H. (2023). Effect of interest rates and exchange rate on economic growth of Nigeria. African Journal of Social and Behavioural Sciences, 13(1), 183–201.
Miftahu, I. (2019). Macroeconomic analysis of interest rate and economic growth in Nigeria: A time series approach. International Journal of Finance and Banking Research, 5(4), 91–104. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijfbr.20190504.14
Mundell, R. A. (1963). Capital mobility and stabilization policy under fixed and flexible exchange rates. The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29(4), 475–485. https://doi.org/10.2307/139336
Najafi, B. B., Akbari, M. B., Hadizadeh, M. A., & Bayat, N. (2023). Impact of exchange rates and inflation on GDP: A panel data approach using data from Iran, Iraq, and Turkey. International Journal of Nonlinear Analysis and Applications, 14(1), 147–161. https://doi.org/10.22075/IJNAA.2022.6278
Olaniyan, N. O., Adegboyo, O. S., Owoniya, B. O., & Alaketu, A. A. (2020). Interest rate and economic growth as determinants of firm investment decision in Nigeria: A cointegration approach. EuroEconomica, 39(3), 214–226.
Onwubuariri, S. E., Oladeji, S. I., & Bank-Ola, R. F. (2021). Inflation and economic growth in Nigeria: An ARDL bound testing approach. Sapientia Foundation Journal of Education, Sciences and Gender Studies, 3(1), 277–290.
Ribeiro, R. S. M., McCombie, J. S. L., & Lima, G. T. (2020). Does real exchange rate undervaluation really promote economic growth? Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 52, 408–417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2019.02.005
Tarawalie, A. B., & Kamara, F. (2022). Inflation and growth nexus: An estimate of the threshold level of inflation in Sierra Leone. Applied Economics and Finance, 9(2), 70–78.
Tran, T. T. H. (2018). Exchange rate policy and macroeconomic stability in Vietnam. VNU Journal of Economics and Business, 34(2), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.25073/2588-1108/vnueab.4152
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Lawrence Babatunde Oni, Taiwo Adedayo Akinsanya

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.