DenGuess: Design and Development of a Machine Learning Web-Based Application for Dengue Outbreak Prediction in City of Koronadal Using Random Forest Model Classifier

Authors

  • Arabela Czarina Saga Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines
  • Mickhaela Belle Acob Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines
  • Joleigh Ancheta Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines
  • Junesheil Fryle Durana Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines
  • Leona Jean Fuscablo Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines
  • Jaylord Villaruel Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines
  • Mia Joy Inocencio Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines
  • Carlos Gaygay Jr. Notre Dame of Marbel University – Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School, Philippines

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54536/ajdsai.v2i2.7696

Keywords:

Health, Prediction, Prevention, Random Forest, Technology

Abstract

Dengue outbreaks remain a major public health problem in Koronadal City with limited technology for monitoring the disease. Health workers are often challenged in accessing and preventing outbreaks due to the lack of available tools. While Random Forest models have been shown to be useful for predicting dengue, their practical application remains still limited. In this study, the researchers developed a machine learning web application to predict dengue outbreaks for five (5) selected barangays in Koronadal weekly, using the epidemiological and meteorological data from 2020 to 2025. The model’s performance was measured using a) real-time simulation accuracy, b) precision, c) recall, and d) F1-scores, and the website was evaluated using the user interface and user experience. The findings demonstrate that the model provides balanced and satisfactory predictions, and the website scores high on all criteria, confirming the usability and reliability of the website. This system provides timely forecast information to support the decision-making process, create more awareness among the community and increase preparedness in the city. Researchers suggest further systematizing the UI and UX of the website and to integrate the system into the city’s public health infrastructure to improve data collection, validation, and engagement within the community.

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Published

2026-09-21

How to Cite

Saga, A. C. ., Acob, M. B. ., Ancheta, J. ., Durana, J. F. ., Fuscablo, L. J. ., Villaruel, J. ., Inocencio, M. J. ., & Gaygay Jr., C. . (2026). DenGuess: Design and Development of a Machine Learning Web-Based Application for Dengue Outbreak Prediction in City of Koronadal Using Random Forest Model Classifier. American Journal of Data Science and Artificial Intelligence, 2(2), 78-87. https://doi.org/10.54536/ajdsai.v2i2.7696

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