Assessing the Effect of Exchange Rate Channel on Household Consumption in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ)

Authors

  • Lawrence Babatunde ONI Department of Economics, Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Ogun State, Nigeria Author https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7085-4761
  • Taiwo Adedayo AKINSANYA Department of Economics, Federal College of Education, Abeokuta, Ogun State, Nigeria Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54536/ajitbae.v1i1.7736

Keywords:

Exchange Rate Channel, Household Consumption, Monetary Zone, Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag, West African

Abstract

The effect of monetary transmission through the exchange rate channel on household consumption in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) had been sparsely explored despite its role in stimulating aggregate demand in many developed countries. Based on this discovery from the literature reviewed, the study estimated the impact of exchange rate channel on household consumption in the WAMZ from 1986 to 2024. The unit root results supported the application of the panel autoregressive distributed lags model for regression analysis. The results revealed that in the short-run, all exchange rate variables have no significant impact on household consumption in the zone. In the long-run, except for inflation rate which significantly affected the household consumption expenditure in the Zone nominal exchange rate and trade balance have no significant effect. Therefore, the study concluded that the exchange rate channel through inflation rate has significant effect on household consumption expenditure in the WAMZ. Based on the findings, some policy implications were highlighted for monetary policy guide in the Zone. The study expanded the scope of literature on how consumption is influenced by exchange rate channel in developing countries particularly in the WAMZ for policy direction in the zone

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

  • Lawrence Babatunde ONI, Department of Economics, Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Ogun State, Nigeria

    Department of Economics

  • Taiwo Adedayo AKINSANYA, Department of Economics, Federal College of Education, Abeokuta, Ogun State, Nigeria

    Department of Economics

References

Alexander, S. S.(1952). Effects of a devaluation of trade balance. International monetary fund staff papers, 2(2),263–278.

Babangida, J. S., Sanusi, A. R. & Yusuf, I. M. (2021). Relationship between real exchange rate andconsumption in nigeria: A nonlinear approach. CBN journal of applied statistics, 12(2), 125-148.

Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Kutan, A. M., & Xi, D. (2015). Does exchange rate volatility hurt domesticconsumption? Evidence from emerging economies. International economics, 144, 53–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2015.05.002

Derindag , O. F., Chang, B. H., Gohar R. & Salman, A. (2022). Exchange rate effect on the householdconsumption in BRICST countries: Evidence from MATNARDL model. Journal of international commerce, economics and policy, 13(2), 1-20

Eniekezimene, F. A Wodu & Anda-Owei, (2024). Interrogating the asymmetric impact of exchange rate onagricultural output in Nigeria. American Journal of Applied Statistics and Economics (AJASE), 3(1), pp.24-32. <https://doi.org/10. 54536/ajase.v2i1,2247>

Fisher, I. (1930). The theory of interest. The macmillan company, New York

Ho, S. and Njindan Iyke, B. (2017). Consumption and exchange rate uncertainty: Evidence from selected Asian countries. Munich Personal RePEc Archive (MPRA). available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/80096/ MPRA, (accessed February 12 2024)

Iheonu O. C. & Tochukwu N. (2020). Macroeconomic determinants of household consumption in selected westafrican countries. Economics bulletin, 40(2), 1596-1606.

Keynes, J. M. (1936). The general theory of employment, interest and money. New York:San-Diego: HarcourtBrace Jovanovich.

Mishkin, F. (1996). The channels of monetary transmission: Lessons for monetary policy. NBER working paperseries No. 5464. National bureau of economic research (NBER), February 1996.

Muhammad , Z. C., Quaid I A., Hafiz S. M. A., Farrukh M. & Adeel A. S. (2019). Exchange rate volatility anddomestic consumption: a comparative study of developed, developing and emerging economies. International journal of accounting and financial reporting, 9(3), 164–179.

Mundell, R. (1963). Capital mobility and stabilization policy under fixed and flexible exchange rates. TheCanadian journal of economics and political science, 29(4), 97-110

Oni, L. B. & Akinsanya, T. A. (2026). Analysing the effects of inflation, interest rate and exchange rate onNigerian economy. American Journal of Applied Statistics and Economics (AJASE), 5(1), pp.122-130. <https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v5i1,7070>

Oseni, I. O. (2016). Exchange rate volatility and private consumption in sub-Saharan African countries: Asystem-GMM dynamic panel analysis. Future business journal, 2(2),103–115

Paulangahar, S. G. & Orjime, S. M. (2020). The effect of exchange rate on aggregate consumption in NigeriaBusiness and finance, 6(1), 196 – 207

Pavlidis, E. G., Paya, I., & Peel, D. A. (2018). A nonlinear analysis of the real exchange rate–consumption relationship. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 22(6), 1485–1507. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100516000894

Uche, E., Chang, B. H., & Effiom, L. (2023). Household consumption and exchange rate extreme dynamics:Multiple asymmetric threshold non-linear autoregressive distributed lag model perspective. International journal finance economics, 28(3), 3437–3450.

Downloads

Published

2026-08-06

How to Cite

ONI, L. B. ., & AKINSANYA, T. A. . (2026). Assessing the Effect of Exchange Rate Channel on Household Consumption in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ). American Journal of International Trade, Business Analytics, and Economics, 1(1), 83-89. https://doi.org/10.54536/ajitbae.v1i1.7736